Chicago Fire FC v New York City FC
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.0
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 7 at 12:30 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Chicago favored. Chicago win 51%, draw 24%, NYCFC win 25%.
Issued Oct 7 at 12:30 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chicago | NYCFC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||
Most likely scores
| NYCFC 0 | NYCFC 1 | NYCFC 2 | NYCFC 3 | NYCFC 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chicago 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chicago 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chicago 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chicago 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 |
