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Chicago Fire FC v Orlando City SC

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 2.5 to 0.7

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Win chances: Chicago favored. Chicago win 58%, draw 20%, Orlando win 22%.

Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chicago and Orlando
ChicagoOrlando
2.50.7
2Goals2
2.50.4

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Chicago goals down, Orlando goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 12%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 0–1, 0–2, 1–2, 2–2.
Orlando 0Orlando 1Orlando 2Orlando 3Orlando 4
Chicago 02%2%2%1%<1%
Chicago 14%7%5%3%1%
Chicago 26%9%6%3%1%
Chicago 35%7%5%3%1%
Chicago 43%4%3%2%1%

Table

Where Chicago and Orlando sit in the Eastern Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
3New England1+958
4Chicago1+1155
5Charlotte1+1553
8Columbus1+644
9Orlando1−1643
10Red Bulls1−1739

Full table

Lineups

Chicago4-3-3

Orlando4-4-2

Orlando4-4-2

Chicago4-3-3

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Chicago
Orlando