Chicago Fire FC v Philadelphia Union
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.3 to 2.0
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Chicago favored. Chicago win 43%, draw 23%, Philadelphia win 34%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chicago | Philadelphia | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Most likely scores
| Philadelphia 0 | Philadelphia 1 | Philadelphia 2 | Philadelphia 3 | Philadelphia 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chicago 1 | 6% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Chicago 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Chicago 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chicago 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 |
