D.C. United v New York Red Bulls
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.1 to 2.8
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: D.C. United favored. D.C. United win 45%, draw 23%, Red Bulls win 32%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| D.C. United | Red Bulls | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.4 | ||
Most likely scores
| Red Bulls 0 | Red Bulls 1 | Red Bulls 2 | Red Bulls 3 | Red Bulls 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.C. United 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| D.C. United 1 | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| D.C. United 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| D.C. United 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| D.C. United 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
