FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire FC
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 3.9 to 2.2
ChicagoChicago Fire FC
Cuypers 26', 48'Zinckernagel 45+5' penalty
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Cincinnati favored. Cincinnati win 39%, draw 24%, Chicago win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | Chicago | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 |
