FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 2.4 to 0.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 18 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Cincinnati favored. Cincinnati win 40%, draw 24%, Columbus win 36%.
Issued Oct 18 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | Columbus | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 0.2 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||
Most likely scores
| Columbus 0 | Columbus 1 | Columbus 2 | Columbus 3 | Columbus 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 1 | 6% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Cincinnati 2 | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 |
