FC Cincinnati v D.C. United
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 19 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Cincinnati favored. Cincinnati win 54%, draw 21%, D.C. United win 25%.
Issued Oct 19 at 1:31 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | D.C. United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||
Most likely scores
| D.C. United 0 | D.C. United 1 | D.C. United 2 | D.C. United 3 | D.C. United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Cincinnati 1 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 3 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Cincinnati 4 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
