FC Cincinnati v New York City FC
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 2.1
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Cincinnati favored. Cincinnati win 44%, draw 23%, NYCFC win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Cincinnati | NYCFC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.1 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 |
