Inter Miami CF v D.C. United
Final score 4 to 0
Expected goals 3.2 to 1.0
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Miami favored. Miami win 63%, draw 18%, D.C. United win 19%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Miami | D.C. United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||
Most likely scores
| D.C. United 0 | D.C. United 1 | D.C. United 2 | D.C. United 3 | D.C. United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami 0 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Miami 1 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Miami 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Miami 3 | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Miami 4 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
