Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.9 to 2.6
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Nov 1 at 1:35 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Nashville favored. Nashville win 58%, draw 22%, Red Bulls win 20%.
Issued Nov 1 at 1:35 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Nashville | Red Bulls | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||
Most likely scores
| Red Bulls 0 | Red Bulls 1 | Red Bulls 2 | Red Bulls 3 | Red Bulls 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Nashville 1 | 8% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Nashville 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Nashville 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Nashville 4 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville | 1 | +44 | 74 | |
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 |
