New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 1.2 to 0.5
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Red Bulls favored. Red Bulls win 49%, draw 24%, Toronto win 27%.
Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Red Bulls | Toronto | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 0.5 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||
Most likely scores
| Toronto 0 | Toronto 1 | Toronto 2 | Toronto 3 | Toronto 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bulls 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Red Bulls 1 | 8% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Red Bulls 2 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Red Bulls 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Red Bulls 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |
