Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.2 to 3.8
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Orlando favored. Orlando win 43%, draw 24%, Columbus win 33%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Orlando | Columbus | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 3.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||
Most likely scores
| Columbus 0 | Columbus 1 | Columbus 2 | Columbus 3 | Columbus 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Orlando 1 | 7% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
| Orlando 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Orlando 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Orlando 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 |
