Orlando City SC v D.C. United
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.6 to 2.4
D.C. UnitedD.C. United
Baribo 45+2' penalty
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Orlando favored. Orlando win 53%, draw 21%, D.C. United win 26%.
Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Orlando | D.C. United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.4 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||
Most likely scores
| D.C. United 0 | D.C. United 1 | D.C. United 2 | D.C. United 3 | D.C. United 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| Orlando 1 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Orlando 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Orlando 3 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Orlando 4 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
