Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 3.5 to 1.3
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 60%, draw 19%, Orlando win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Philadelphia | Orlando | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.3 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 |
