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Portland Timbers v Charlotte FC

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 3.6 to 1.0

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Win chances: Portland favored. Portland win 43%, draw 24%, Charlotte win 33%.

Issued Oct 24 at 9:55 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Portland and Charlotte
PortlandCharlotte
3.61.0
3Goals2
2.60.3

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Portland goals down, Charlotte goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 6%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 0–1, 1–1, 2–1, 2–2, 3–2.
Charlotte 0Charlotte 1Charlotte 2Charlotte 3Charlotte 4
Portland 04%5%4%2%1%
Portland 16%10%8%4%2%
Portland 26%9%7%4%1%
Portland 33%5%4%2%1%
Portland 42%2%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Portland sits in the Western Conference and Charlotte in the Eastern Conference. The top 9 of each conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
7LA Galaxy1−644
8Portland1−143
9Colorado1−143
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
4Chicago1+1155
5Charlotte1+1553
6Philadelphia1+1147

Full table

Lineups

Portland4-3-3

Charlotte4-3-3

Charlotte4-3-3

Portland4-3-3

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Portland
Charlotte