St. Louis City SC v Portland Timbers
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.3
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: St. Louis favored. St. Louis win 52%, draw 22%, Portland win 26%.
Issued Oct 26 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| St. Louis | Portland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||
Most likely scores
| Portland 0 | Portland 1 | Portland 2 | Portland 3 | Portland 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 1 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 2 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 3 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| St. Louis 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| 6 | LAFC | 1 | +13 | 47 | |
| 7 | LA Galaxy | 1 | −6 | 44 | |
| 8 | Portland | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 9 | Colorado | 1 | −1 | 43 |
