Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 2.4
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Toronto favored. Toronto win 40%, draw 27%, Red Bulls win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Toronto | Red Bulls | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |
