Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire FC
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.3
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 24 at 5:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Chicago favored. Atlanta win 36%, draw 25%, Chicago win 39%.
Issued Oct 24 at 5:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Atlanta | Chicago | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||
Most likely scores
| Chicago 0 | Chicago 1 | Chicago 2 | Chicago 3 | Chicago 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta 0 | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Atlanta 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 |
