Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.5 to 1.6
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Nov 1 at 1:35 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Atlanta favored. Atlanta win 47%, draw 25%, Toronto win 28%.
Issued Nov 1 at 1:35 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Atlanta | Toronto | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||
Most likely scores
| Toronto 0 | Toronto 1 | Toronto 2 | Toronto 3 | Toronto 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Atlanta 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Atlanta 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 |
