Columbus Crew v Toronto FC
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 22 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Columbus favored. Columbus win 53%, draw 25%, Toronto win 22%.
Issued Oct 22 at 1:32 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Columbus | Toronto | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||
Most likely scores
| Toronto 0 | Toronto 1 | Toronto 2 | Toronto 3 | Toronto 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Columbus 1 | 11% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | |
| Columbus 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Columbus 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Columbus 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 | |
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |
