New England Revolution v Chicago Fire FC
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.4 to 1.4
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: New England favored. New England win 40%, draw 24%, Chicago win 36%.
Issued Oct 17 at 6:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| New England | Chicago | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||
Most likely scores
| Chicago 0 | Chicago 1 | Chicago 2 | Chicago 3 | Chicago 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| New England 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| New England 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| New England 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| New England 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 |
