Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.5
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Portland favored. Sporting KC win 36%, draw 23%, Portland win 41%.
Issued Oct 10 at 4:44 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Sporting KC | Portland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||
Most likely scores
| Portland 0 | Portland 1 | Portland 2 | Portland 3 | Portland 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting KC 0 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Sporting KC 1 | 5% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | |
| Sporting KC 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Sporting KC 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Sporting KC 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LA Galaxy | 1 | −6 | 44 | |
| 8 | Portland | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 9 | Colorado | 1 | −1 | 43 | |
| 14 | Austin | 1 | −21 | 34 | |
| 15 | Sporting KC | 1 | −42 | 23 |
