St. Louis City SC v Toronto FC
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.6 to 1.2
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: St. Louis favored. St. Louis win 53%, draw 24%, Toronto win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| St. Louis | Toronto | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||
Table
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Jose | 1 | +8 | 52 | |
| 4 | St. Louis | 1 | +10 | 51 | |
| 5 | Houston | 1 | +1 | 51 | |
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |
