Toronto FC v CF Montréal
TorontoToronto FC
Morgan 90+3'Mihailovic 90+5'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 1.2
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 7 at 12:30 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Toronto favored. Toronto win 46%, draw 26%, Montréal win 28%.
Issued Oct 7 at 12:30 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Toronto | Montréal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||
Most likely scores
| Montréal 0 | Montréal 1 | Montréal 2 | Montréal 3 | Montréal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto 0 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Toronto 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Toronto 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Toronto 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Toronto 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 | |
| 14 | D.C. United | 1 | −21 | 33 | |
| 15 | Montréal | 1 | −30 | 26 |
