Toronto FC v New England Revolution
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 0.2 to 2.5
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Toronto favored. Toronto win 44%, draw 27%, New England win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Toronto | New England | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.5 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.7 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miami | 1 | +21 | 59 | |
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |