Toronto FC v Orlando City SC
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Toronto favored. Toronto win 42%, draw 24%, Orlando win 34%.
Issued Oct 12 at 1:22 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Toronto | Orlando | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 2.1 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||
Most likely scores
| Orlando 0 | Orlando 1 | Orlando 2 | Orlando 3 | Orlando 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto 0 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Toronto 1 | 6% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Toronto 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Toronto 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Toronto 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Columbus | 1 | +6 | 44 | |
| 9 | Orlando | 1 | −16 | 43 | |
| 10 | Red Bulls | 1 | −17 | 39 | |
| 11 | NYCFC | 1 | +3 | 39 | |
| 12 | Toronto | 1 | −12 | 39 | |
| 13 | Atlanta | 1 | −14 | 33 |
