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Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Seattle Sounders FC

Final score 5 to 1

Expected goals 2.6 to 1.1

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Win chances: Vancouver favored. Vancouver win 60%, draw 21%, Seattle win 19%.

Issued Nov 1 at 1:35 AM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Vancouver and Seattle
VancouverSeattle
2.61.1
5Goals1
2.20.6

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Vancouver goals down, Seattle goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 7%. Goal by goal: 0–0, 1–0, 2–0, 3–0, 4–0, 4–1, 5–1.
Seattle 0Seattle 1Seattle 2Seattle 3Seattle 4
Vancouver 04%4%2%1%<1%
Vancouver 18%10%5%2%1%
Vancouver 29%10%6%2%1%
Vancouver 36%7%4%1%<1%
Vancouver 43%4%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Vancouver and Seattle sit in the Western Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionWestern ConferencePts.
1Vancouver1+3861
2Dallas1+955
9Colorado1−143
10Seattle1−343
11Salt Lake1042

Full table

Lineups

Vancouver4-2-3-1

Seattle4-2-3-1

Seattle4-2-3-1

Vancouver4-2-3-1

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Vancouver
Seattle