Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire FC
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.7
- Date
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Philadelphia win 51%, draw 22%, Chicago win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Philadelphia | Chicago | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| 6 | Philadelphia | 1 | +11 | 47 | |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 1 | −6 | 46 |
