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Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union

Final score 3 to 3

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.0

Full time
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Win chances: Philadelphia favored. Toronto win 36%, draw 27%, Philadelphia win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Toronto and Philadelphia
TorontoPhiladelphia
1.71.0
3Goals3
1.90.9

Table

Where Toronto and Philadelphia sit in the Eastern Conference. The top 9 of the conference make the playoffs.
PositionEastern ConferencePts.
5Charlotte1+1553
6Philadelphia1+1147
7Cincinnati1−646
11NYCFC1+339
12Toronto1−1239
13Atlanta1−1433

Full table

Lineups

Toronto5-3-2

Philadelphia4-4-2

Philadelphia4-4-2

Toronto5-3-2

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Toronto
Philadelphia