Chicago Fire FC v Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.8 to 1.6
- Date
The last forecast before kickoff. Issued Oct 2 at 11:22 PM EDT by model version 2. It never changes.
Win chances: Vancouver favored. Chicago win 34%, draw 23%, Vancouver win 43%.
Issued Oct 2 at 11:22 PM EDT by model version 2. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chicago | Vancouver | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from American Soccer Analysis. | 1.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||
Most likely scores
| Vancouver 0 | Vancouver 1 | Vancouver 2 | Vancouver 3 | Vancouver 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago 0 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | |
| Chicago 1 | 5% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Chicago 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Chicago 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chicago 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Eastern Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England | 1 | +9 | 58 | |
| 4 | Chicago | 1 | +11 | 55 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1 | +15 | 53 | |
| Position | Western Conference | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 9 of the conference and making the playoffs. |
| 1 | Vancouver | 1 | +38 | 61 | |
| 2 | Dallas | 1 | +9 | 55 |
