Premier League matches
Nov 2–8
Today
Newcastle United v Everton
Forecast: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 45%, draw 26%, Everton win 29%.Newcastle win 45%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 24%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Everton win 29%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.
Friday
Everton v Coventry City
Forecast: Everton favored. Everton win 43%, draw 26%, Coventry win 31%.Everton win 43%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Coventry win 31%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 14%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Everton's chances of going down to 10%, Coventry's to 16%.
Saturday
Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur
Forecast: Leeds favored. Leeds win 43%, draw 28%, Tottenham win 29%.Leeds win 43%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 21%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 9%.Tottenham win 29%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 12%.Leeds is the favorite despite sitting 3 places below Tottenham.
Arsenal v Hull City
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 70%, draw 21%, Hull win 9%.Arsenal win 70%Most likely 2–0 (15%). By 2+ goals 45%.Draw 21%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 8%.Hull win 9%Most likely 0–1 (4%). By 2+ goals 2%.Arsenal has won 4 straight; Hull is winless in 7.
Fulham v Newcastle United
Forecast: Fulham favored. Fulham win 42%, draw 26%, Newcastle win 32%.Fulham win 42%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 21%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Newcastle win 32%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.Fulham is the favorite despite sitting 3 places below Newcastle.
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest v
Forecast: Man City favored. Nott'm Forest win 27%, draw 25%, Man City win 48%.Nott'm Forest win 27%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 11%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Man City win 48%Most likely 1–2 (10%). By 2+ goals 27%.Nott'm Forest is winless in 5.
High stakesStakes 30 of 100, top 15% of past matches.
Sunday
Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v
Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 52%, draw 23%, Brentford win 25%.Brighton win 52%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 30%.Draw 23%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Brentford win 25%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 11%.3rd meets 6th across the top four line; a win lifts Brighton to 83%, Brentford to 23%.
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v
Forecast: Liverpool favored. Crystal Palace win 25%, draw 23%, Liverpool win 52%.Crystal Palace win 25%Most likely 2–1 (6%). By 2+ goals 11%.Draw 23%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Liverpool win 52%Most likely 1–2 (10%). By 2+ goals 30%.Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 39%.
High stakesStakes 33 of 100, top 15% of past matches.Ipswich Town v AFC Bournemouth
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Ipswich win 26%, draw 22%, Bournemouth win 52%.Ipswich win 26%Most likely 2–1 (6%). By 2+ goals 12%.Draw 22%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 3%.Bournemouth win 52%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 31%.Bournemouth has won 3 straight.
Sunderland v Chelsea
Forecast: Chelsea favored. Sunderland win 30%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 44%.Sunderland win 30%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 14%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Chelsea win 44%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 23%.Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 33%, a loss to 21%.
Manchester United v Aston Villa
Forecast: Man United favored. Man United win 46%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 29%.Man United win 46%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 25%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Aston Villa win 29%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.Man United is the favorite despite sitting 8 places below Aston Villa.
