Premier League matches
Nov 16–22
Saturday
Manchester City v Fulham
Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 61%, draw 22%, Fulham win 17%.Man City win 61%Most likely 2–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 38%.Draw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 5%.Fulham win 17%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 6%.Man City is the week's heaviest favorite.
Aston Villa v Sunderland
Forecast: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 51%, draw 26%, Sunderland win 23%.Aston Villa win 51%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 28%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Sunderland win 23%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 9%.Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 3%.
AFC Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 55%, draw 24%, Nott'm Forest win 21%.Bournemouth win 55%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 32%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 6%.Nott'm Forest win 21%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 8%.Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 30%, a loss to 19%.
Chelsea v Leeds United
Forecast: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 48%, draw 25%, Leeds win 27%.Chelsea win 48%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 26%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Leeds win 27%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 11%.Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 33%, a loss to 21%.
Coventry City v Crystal Palace
Forecast: Coventry favored. Coventry win 50%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace win 27%.Coventry win 50%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 29%.Draw 23%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Crystal Palace win 27%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.16th meets 18th at the drop; a win cuts Coventry to 16%, Crystal Palace to 50%.
High stakesStakes 34 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town
Forecast: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 53%, draw 23%, Ipswich win 24%.Tottenham win 53%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 32%.Draw 23%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Ipswich win 24%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 10%.3.4 goals expected, the most of any match this week.
Newcastle United v Arsenal
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Newcastle win 19%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 57%.Newcastle win 19%Most likely 2–1 (5%). By 2+ goals 7%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Arsenal win 57%Most likely 0–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 33%.
Sunday
Hull City v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton
Forecast: Brighton favored. Hull win 24%, draw 27%, Brighton win 49%.Hull win 24%Most likely 1–0 (6%). By 2+ goals 9%.Draw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Brighton win 49%Most likely 0–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 26%.Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 83%, a loss to 72%.
Liverpool v Manchester United
Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 51%, draw 24%, Man United win 25%.Liverpool win 51%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 30%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Man United win 25%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 10%.Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 39%.
