Premier League matches
Apr 5–11
Saturday
Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton
Forecast: Brighton favored. Aston Villa win 33%, draw 26%, Brighton win 41%.Aston Villa win 33%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Brighton win 41%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 21%.Brighton won 4–0 when they met in August.
AFC Bournemouth v Manchester City
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 38%, draw 25%, Man City win 37%.Bournemouth win 38%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 20%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Man City win 37%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.The closest match of the week.
Chelsea v Fulham
Forecast: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 24%, Fulham win 24%.Chelsea win 52%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 30%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Fulham win 24%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 10%.Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 21%.
Coventry City v Arsenal
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Coventry win 17%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 59%.Coventry win 17%Most likely 1–0 (5%). By 2+ goals 6%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 7%.Arsenal win 59%Most likely 0–2 (11%). By 2+ goals 35%.Arsenal won 3–0 when they met in August.
Crystal Palace v Everton
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v
Forecast: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 38%, draw 26%, Everton win 36%.Crystal Palace win 38%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Everton win 36%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Everton is 6 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to under 1%.
Leeds United v Nottingham Forest
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Forecast: Leeds favored. Leeds win 45%, draw 28%, Nott'm Forest win 27%.Leeds win 45%Most likely 1–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 22%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 9%.Nott'm Forest win 27%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 11%.Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
Liverpool v Newcastle United
Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 57%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 21%.Liverpool win 57%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 35%.Draw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 5%.Newcastle win 21%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 8%.Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 54%, a loss drops them to 39%.
Manchester United v Hull City
Forecast: Man United favored. Man United win 54%, draw 25%, Hull win 21%.Man United win 54%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 30%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Hull win 21%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 8%.Man United is the favorite despite sitting 7 places below Hull.
Sunderland v Ipswich Town
Forecast: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 45%, draw 24%, Ipswich win 31%.Sunderland win 45%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 25%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Ipswich win 31%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 14%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 46%, Ipswich's to 26%.
Tottenham Hotspur v Brentford
Forecast: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 38%, draw 26%, Brentford win 36%.Tottenham win 38%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Brentford win 36%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Brentford won 3–0 when they met in August.