Premier League matches

SaturdayMar 20

1. Arsenal v Sunderland

   11:00 AM ET

   ArsenalArsenal v

   SunderlandSunderland

   Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 71%, draw 20%, Sunderland win 9%.

   Arsenal winArsenal win 71%Most likely 2–0 (14%). By 2+ goals 47%.DrawDraw 20%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 7%.Sunderland winSunderland win 9%Most likely 0–1 (3%). By 2+ goals 2%.

   71%20%9%

   A win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 42%; a loss raises them to 58%.

2. Brentford v AFC Bournemouth

   11:00 AM ET

   BrentfordBrentford v

   AFC BournemouthBournemouth

   Forecast: Brentford favored. Brentford win 39%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 36%.

   Brentford winBrentford win 39%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Bournemouth winBournemouth win 36%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.

   39%25%36%

   The closest match of the week.

3. Brighton & Hove Albion v Coventry City

   11:00 AM ET

   Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v

   Coventry CityCoventry

   Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 61%, draw 21%, Coventry win 18%.

   Brighton winBrighton win 61%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 39%.DrawDraw 21%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Coventry winCoventry win 18%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 7%.

   61%21%18%

   Brighton won 5–0 when they met in September.

4. Everton v Tottenham Hotspur

   11:00 AM ET

   EvertonEverton v

   Tottenham HotspurTottenham

   Forecast: Everton favored. Everton win 39%, draw 28%, Tottenham win 33%.

   Everton winEverton win 39%Most likely 1–0 (9%). By 2+ goals 18%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Tottenham winTottenham win 33%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   39%28%33%

5. Fulham v Liverpool

   11:00 AM ET

   FulhamFulham v

   LiverpoolLiverpool

   Forecast: Liverpool favored. Fulham win 30%, draw 27%, Liverpool win 43%.

   Fulham winFulham win 30%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Liverpool winLiverpool win 43%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.

   30%27%43%

   Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 41%.

6. Hull City v Chelsea

   11:00 AM ET

   Hull CityHull v

   ChelseaChelsea

   Forecast: Chelsea favored. Hull win 30%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 44%.

   Hull winHull win 30%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Chelsea winChelsea win 44%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 23%.

   30%26%44%

   Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 22%.

7. Ipswich Town v Crystal Palace

   11:00 AM ET

   Ipswich TownIpswich v

   Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

   Forecast: Ipswich favored. Ipswich win 47%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace win 31%.

   Ipswich winIpswich win 47%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 27%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 3%.Crystal Palace winCrystal Palace win 31%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   47%22%31%

   3.7 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

8. Manchester City v Manchester United

   11:00 AM ET

   Manchester CityMan City v

   Manchester UnitedMan United

   Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 57%, draw 22%, Man United win 21%.

   Man City winMan City win 57%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 35%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Man United winMan United win 21%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 9%.

   57%22%21%

9. Newcastle United v Leeds United

   11:00 AM ET

   Newcastle UnitedNewcastle v

   Leeds UnitedLeeds

   Forecast: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 40%, draw 27%, Leeds win 33%.

   Newcastle winNewcastle win 40%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Leeds winLeeds win 33%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   40%27%33%

   Leeds won 4–1 when they met in September.

10. Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

    11:00 AM ET

    Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest v

    Aston VillaAston Villa

    Forecast: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 39%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 34%.

    Nott'm Forest winNott'm Forest win 39%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Aston Villa winAston Villa win 34%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.

    39%27%34%

    The table says 19th vs. 9th, but the win chances are 39% and 34%.