Premier League matches

SaturdayApr 17

1. Arsenal v Aston Villa

   10:00 AM ET

   ArsenalArsenal v

   Aston VillaAston Villa

   Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 65%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 13%.

   Arsenal winArsenal win 65%Most likely 2–0 (12%). By 2+ goals 41%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 7%.Aston Villa winAston Villa win 13%Most likely 0–1 (4%). By 2+ goals 4%.

   65%22%13%

   A win lifts Arsenal's chances of the title to 84%; a loss drops them to 72%.

2. Brentford v Leeds United

   10:00 AM ET

   BrentfordBrentford v

   Leeds UnitedLeeds

   Forecast: Brentford favored. Brentford win 47%, draw 26%, Leeds win 27%.

   Brentford winBrentford win 47%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 25%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Leeds winLeeds win 27%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.

   47%26%27%

3. Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea

   10:00 AM ET

   Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v

   ChelseaChelsea

   Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 51%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 26%.

   Brighton winBrighton win 51%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 30%.DrawDraw 23%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Chelsea winChelsea win 26%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 11%.

   51%23%26%

   Both need this for the top four; a win lifts Brighton to 84%, Chelsea to 37%.

4. Everton v AFC Bournemouth

   10:00 AM ET

   EvertonEverton v

   AFC BournemouthBournemouth

   Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Everton win 29%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 44%.

   Everton winEverton win 29%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Bournemouth winBournemouth win 44%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.

   29%27%44%

   Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 20%.

5. Fulham v Sunderland

   10:00 AM ET

   FulhamFulham v

   SunderlandSunderland

   Forecast: Fulham favored. Fulham win 46%, draw 28%, Sunderland win 26%.

   Fulham winFulham win 46%Most likely 1–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 23%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 9%.Sunderland winSunderland win 26%Most likely 0–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 10%.

   46%28%26%

   Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 15%, Sunderland's to 43%.

6. Hull City v Coventry City

   10:00 AM ET

   Hull CityHull v

   Coventry CityCoventry

   Forecast: Hull favored. Hull win 38%, draw 28%, Coventry win 34%.

   Hull winHull win 38%Most likely 1–0 (9%). By 2+ goals 18%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Coventry winCoventry win 34%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   38%28%34%

   Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 23%, Coventry's to 15%.

7. Ipswich Town v Manchester United

   10:00 AM ET

   Ipswich TownIpswich v

   Manchester UnitedMan United

   Forecast: Man United favored. Ipswich win 33%, draw 23%, Man United win 44%.

   Ipswich winIpswich win 33%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 16%.DrawDraw 23%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 3%.Man United winMan United win 44%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 25%.

   33%23%44%

   Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

8. Manchester City v Crystal Palace

   10:00 AM ET

   Manchester CityMan City v

   Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

   Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 71%, draw 17%, Crystal Palace win 12%.

   Man City winMan City win 71%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 50%.DrawDraw 17%Most likely 1–1 (7%). Scoreless 3%.Crystal Palace winCrystal Palace win 12%Most likely 1–2 (4%). By 2+ goals 4%.

   71%17%12%

   Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 92%, a loss to 85%.

9. Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur

   10:00 AM ET

   Newcastle UnitedNewcastle v

   Tottenham HotspurTottenham

   Forecast: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 42%, draw 26%, Tottenham win 32%.

   Newcastle winNewcastle win 42%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Tottenham winTottenham win 32%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   42%26%32%

   Newcastle is the favorite despite sitting 4 places below Tottenham.

10. Nottingham Forest v Liverpool

    10:00 AM ET

    Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest v

    LiverpoolLiverpool

    Forecast: Liverpool favored. Nott'm Forest win 30%, draw 27%, Liverpool win 43%.

    Nott'm Forest winNott'm Forest win 30%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Liverpool winLiverpool win 43%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.

    30%27%43%

    Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 41%.