Premier League matches

SaturdayJan 30

1. Aston Villa v Ipswich Town

   10:00 AM ET

   Aston VillaAston Villa v

   Ipswich TownIpswich

   Forecast: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 56%, draw 22%, Ipswich win 22%.

   Aston Villa winAston Villa win 56%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 35%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 4%.Ipswich winIpswich win 22%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 10%.

   56%22%22%

   3.5 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

2. AFC Bournemouth v Fulham

   10:00 AM ET

   AFC BournemouthBournemouth v

   FulhamFulham

   Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 56%, draw 24%, Fulham win 20%.

   Bournemouth winBournemouth win 56%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 32%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Fulham winFulham win 20%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 8%.

   56%24%20%

   Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 30%, a loss to 19%.

3. Brentford v Manchester United

   10:00 AM ET

   BrentfordBrentford v

   Manchester UnitedMan United

   Forecast: Brentford favored. Brentford win 46%, draw 24%, Man United win 30%.

   Brentford winBrentford win 46%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 26%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 4%.Man United winMan United win 30%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 14%.

   46%24%30%

4. Chelsea v Nottingham Forest

   10:00 AM ET

   ChelseaChelsea v

   Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest

   Forecast: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 24%, Nott'm Forest win 24%.

   Chelsea winChelsea win 52%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 30%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Nott'm Forest winNott'm Forest win 24%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 10%.

   52%24%24%

   Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 20%.

5. Coventry City v Leeds United

   10:00 AM ET

   Coventry CityCoventry v

   Leeds UnitedLeeds

   Forecast: Coventry favored. Coventry win 38%, draw 27%, Leeds win 35%.

   Coventry winCoventry win 38%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 18%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Leeds winLeeds win 35%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.

   38%27%35%

   The closest match of the week.

6. Hull City v Crystal Palace

   10:00 AM ET

   Hull CityHull v

   Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

   Forecast: Hull favored. Hull win 43%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace win 30%.

   Hull winHull win 43%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Crystal Palace winCrystal Palace win 30%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.

   43%27%30%

   Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 24%, Crystal Palace's to 50%.

7. Liverpool v Everton

   10:00 AM ET

   LiverpoolLiverpool v

   EvertonEverton

   Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 57%, draw 24%, Everton win 19%.

   Liverpool winLiverpool win 57%Most likely 2–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 34%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 6%.Everton winEverton win 19%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 7%.

   57%24%19%

   Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 53%, a loss drops them to 39%.

8. Manchester City v Arsenal

   10:00 AM ET

   Manchester CityMan City v

   ArsenalArsenal

   Forecast: Arsenal favored. Man City win 32%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 40%.

   Man City winMan City win 32%Most likely 1–0 (8%). By 2+ goals 14%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Arsenal winArsenal win 40%Most likely 0–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.

   32%28%40%

   A win lifts Arsenal's chances of the title to 87%; a loss drops them to 72%.

9. Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion

   10:00 AM ET

   Newcastle UnitedNewcastle v

   Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton

   Forecast: Brighton favored. Newcastle win 31%, draw 24%, Brighton win 45%.

   Newcastle winNewcastle win 31%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 14%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Brighton winBrighton win 45%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 24%.

   31%24%45%

10. Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland

    10:00 AM ET

    Tottenham HotspurTottenham v

    SunderlandSunderland

    Forecast: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 49%, draw 27%, Sunderland win 24%.

    Tottenham winTottenham win 49%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 26%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Sunderland winSunderland win 24%Most likely 0–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 9%.

    49%27%24%

    Tottenham is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.