Premier League matches
Jan 18–24
Saturday
Arsenal v Newcastle United
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 69%, draw 20%, Newcastle win 11%.Arsenal win 69%Most likely 2–0 (12%). By 2+ goals 46%.Draw 20%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 6%.Newcastle win 11%Most likely 1–2 (3%). By 2+ goals 4%.Arsenal is the week's heaviest favorite.
Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v
Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 40%, draw 25%, Man City win 35%.Brighton win 40%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 21%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Man City win 35%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 85%, a loss to 72%.
Must watchRated 46 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v
Forecast: Tottenham favored. Crystal Palace win 35%, draw 26%, Tottenham win 39%.Crystal Palace win 35%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Tottenham win 39%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.Home field evens it against Tottenham, 11th by rating.
Toss-upWin chances within 5 points.Everton v Brentford
Forecast: Brentford favored. Everton win 35%, draw 26%, Brentford win 39%.Everton win 35%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Brentford win 39%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.Home field evens it against Brentford, 7th by rating.
Toss-upWin chances within 5 points.Fulham v Aston Villa
Forecast: Fulham favored. Fulham win 38%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 34%.Fulham win 38%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 18%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Aston Villa win 34%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.Home field evens it against Aston Villa, 9th by rating; Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play.
Toss-upWin chances within 5 points.Ipswich Town v Hull City
Forecast: Ipswich favored. Ipswich win 44%, draw 25%, Hull win 31%.Ipswich win 44%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 23%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Hull win 31%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 14%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 28%, Hull's to 22%.
High stakesStakes 34 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.Leeds United v Chelsea
Forecast: Leeds favored. Leeds win 39%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 35%.Leeds win 39%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Chelsea win 35%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Home field evens it against Chelsea, 6th by rating; Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line.
Toss-upWin chances within 5 points.Manchester United v Liverpool
Forecast: Liverpool favored. Man United win 36%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 38%.Man United win 36%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Liverpool win 38%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.Home field evens it against Liverpool, 4th by rating; Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play.
Toss-upWin chances within 5 points.Nottingham Forest v AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest v
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Nott'm Forest win 31%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 42%.Nott'm Forest win 31%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 14%.Draw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Bournemouth win 42%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 20%.
Sunderland v Coventry City
Forecast: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 39%, draw 27%, Coventry win 34%.Sunderland win 39%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.Draw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Coventry win 34%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 46%, Coventry's to 15%.
High stakesStakes 33 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
