Premier League matches
Feb 8–14
Wednesday
Aston Villa v AFC Bournemouth
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Aston Villa win 35%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 39%.Aston Villa win 35%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Bournemouth win 39%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 33%, a loss to 19%.
Coventry City v Liverpool
Forecast: Liverpool favored. Coventry win 29%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 46%.Coventry win 29%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Liverpool win 46%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 25%.Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 41%.
Crystal Palace v Brentford
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v
Forecast: Brentford favored. Crystal Palace win 30%, draw 24%, Brentford win 46%.Crystal Palace win 30%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 14%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Brentford win 46%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 26%.Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 19%, a loss drops them to 11%.
Everton v Leeds United
Forecast: Everton favored. Everton win 37%, draw 29%, Leeds win 34%.Everton win 37%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 17%.Draw 29%Most likely 1–1 (14%). Scoreless 9%.Leeds win 34%Most likely 0–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 15%.Fulham v Nottingham Forest
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Forecast: Fulham favored. Fulham win 41%, draw 28%, Nott'm Forest win 31%.Fulham win 41%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 20%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 9%.Nott'm Forest win 31%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 13%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 14%, Nott'm Forest's to 21%.
Hull City v Sunderland
Forecast: Hull favored. Hull win 40%, draw 30%, Sunderland win 30%.Hull win 40%Most likely 1–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 18%.Draw 30%Most likely 1–1 (14%). Scoreless 10%.Sunderland win 30%Most likely 0–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 12%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 23%, Sunderland's to 45%.
Ipswich Town v Arsenal
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Ipswich win 14%, draw 20%, Arsenal win 66%.Ipswich win 14%Most likely 2–1 (4%). By 2+ goals 5%.Draw 20%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 5%.Arsenal win 66%Most likely 0–2 (10%). By 2+ goals 43%.A win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 24%; a loss raises them to 39%.
Manchester United v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton
Forecast: Brighton favored. Man United win 36%, draw 25%, Brighton win 39%.Man United win 36%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Brighton win 39%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.The table says 17th vs. 3rd, but the win chances are 36% and 39%.
Newcastle United v Chelsea
Forecast: Chelsea favored. Newcastle win 37%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 39%.Newcastle win 37%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 19%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Chelsea win 39%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 20%.The closest match of the week.
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City
Forecast: Man City favored. Tottenham win 28%, draw 26%, Man City win 46%.Tottenham win 28%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Man City win 46%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 25%.