Premier League matches

SaturdayMay 1

1. Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur

   10:00 AM ET

   ArsenalArsenal v

   Tottenham HotspurTottenham

   Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 66%, draw 22%, Tottenham win 12%.

   Arsenal winArsenal win 66%Most likely 2–0 (13%). By 2+ goals 41%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 8%.Tottenham winTottenham win 12%Most likely 0–1 (4%). By 2+ goals 4%.

   66%22%12%

   Arsenal is the week's heaviest favorite.

2. Brighton & Hove Albion v Nottingham Forest

   10:00 AM ET

   Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v

   Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest

   Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 57%, draw 24%, Nott'm Forest win 19%.

   Brighton winBrighton win 57%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 34%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 6%.Nott'm Forest winNott'm Forest win 19%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 7%.

   57%24%19%

   Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 82%, a loss to 71%.

3. Coventry City v Manchester United

   10:00 AM ET

   Coventry CityCoventry v

   Manchester UnitedMan United

   Forecast: Man United favored. Coventry win 36%, draw 25%, Man United win 39%.

   Coventry winCoventry win 36%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Man United winMan United win 39%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 20%.

   36%25%39%

   Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

4. Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

   10:00 AM ET

   Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v

   Aston VillaAston Villa

   Forecast: Aston Villa favored. Crystal Palace win 33%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 42%.

   Crystal Palace winCrystal Palace win 33%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Aston Villa winAston Villa win 42%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 22%.

   33%25%42%

   Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 3%.

5. Fulham v Everton

   10:00 AM ET

   FulhamFulham v

   EvertonEverton

   Forecast: Fulham favored. Fulham win 43%, draw 28%, Everton win 29%.

   Fulham winFulham win 43%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 21%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 9%.Everton winEverton win 29%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 12%.

   43%28%29%

   Everton is 6 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

6. Hull City v AFC Bournemouth

   10:00 AM ET

   Hull CityHull v

   AFC BournemouthBournemouth

   Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Hull win 26%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 47%.

   Hull winHull win 26%Most likely 1–0 (7%). By 2+ goals 10%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Bournemouth winBournemouth win 47%Most likely 0–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 25%.

   26%27%47%

   Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 19%.

7. Ipswich Town v Leeds United

   10:00 AM ET

   Ipswich TownIpswich v

   Leeds UnitedLeeds

   Forecast: Leeds favored. Ipswich win 35%, draw 25%, Leeds win 40%.

   Ipswich winIpswich win 35%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Leeds winLeeds win 40%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 21%.

   35%25%40%

   Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

8. Liverpool v Chelsea

   10:00 AM ET

   LiverpoolLiverpool v

   ChelseaChelsea

   Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 50%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 26%.

   Liverpool winLiverpool win 50%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 29%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 4%.Chelsea winChelsea win 26%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.

   50%24%26%

   4th meets 5th for fourth place; a win lifts Liverpool to 55%, Chelsea to 39%.

9. Manchester City v Brentford

   10:00 AM ET

   Manchester CityMan City v

   BrentfordBrentford

   Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 56%, draw 22%, Brentford win 22%.

   Man City winMan City win 56%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 34%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Brentford winBrentford win 22%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 9%.

   56%22%22%

   3.4 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

10. Sunderland v Newcastle United

    10:00 AM ET

    SunderlandSunderland v

    Newcastle UnitedNewcastle

    Forecast: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 37%, draw 27%, Newcastle win 36%.

    Sunderland winSunderland win 37%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Newcastle winNewcastle win 36%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.

    37%27%36%

    Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.