Premier League matches
May 3–9
Saturday
AFC Bournemouth v Manchester United
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 51%, draw 24%, Man United win 25%.Bournemouth win 51%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 29%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Man United win 25%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 11%.Bournemouth won 3–0 when they met in October.
Brentford v Aston Villa
Forecast: Brentford favored. Brentford win 48%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 28%.Brentford win 48%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 27%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Aston Villa win 28%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.Brighton & Hove Albion v Sunderland
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v
Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 62%, draw 22%, Sunderland win 16%.Brighton win 62%Most likely 2–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 39%.Draw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 6%.Sunderland win 16%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 6%.Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 81%, a loss to 71%.
Everton v Hull City
Forecast: Everton favored. Everton win 45%, draw 29%, Hull win 26%.Everton win 45%Most likely 1–0 (12%). By 2+ goals 22%.Draw 29%Most likely 1–1 (14%). Scoreless 10%.Hull win 26%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 10%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Everton's chances of going down to 10%, Hull's to 21%.
Fulham v Ipswich Town
Forecast: Fulham favored. Fulham win 50%, draw 24%, Ipswich win 26%.Fulham win 50%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 29%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Ipswich win 26%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 15%, Ipswich's to 26%.
Leeds United v Arsenal
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Leeds win 20%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 52%.Leeds win 20%Most likely 1–0 (7%). By 2+ goals 7%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 10%.Arsenal win 52%Most likely 0–1 (13%). By 2+ goals 27%.A win lifts Arsenal's chances of the title to 84%; a loss drops them to 74%.
Manchester City v Liverpool
Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 49%, draw 24%, Liverpool win 27%.Man City win 49%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 27%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Liverpool win 27%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 61%, a loss drops them to 43%.
Newcastle United v Coventry City
Forecast: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 47%, draw 24%, Coventry win 29%.Newcastle win 47%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 26%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Coventry win 29%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.Coventry won 4–1 when they met in October.
Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest v
Forecast: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 50%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace win 25%.Nott'm Forest win 50%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 28%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Crystal Palace win 25%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 11%.Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea
Forecast: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 38%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 37%.Tottenham win 38%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 19%.Draw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 5%.Chelsea win 37%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.The closest match of the week.