Premier League matches

SaturdayDec 12

1. Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth

   10:00 AM ET

   ArsenalArsenal v

   AFC BournemouthBournemouth

   Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 57%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 18%.

   Arsenal winArsenal win 57%Most likely 1–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 33%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Bournemouth winBournemouth win 18%Most likely 0–1 (5%). By 2+ goals 6%.

   57%25%18%

   Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 35%, a loss to 21%.

   Must watchMust watchRated 45 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.

2. Brighton & Hove Albion v Everton

   10:00 AM ET

   Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v

   EvertonEverton

   Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 59%, draw 23%, Everton win 18%.

   Brighton winBrighton win 59%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 35%.DrawDraw 23%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 6%.Everton winEverton win 18%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 7%.

   59%23%18%

   Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 82%, a loss to 72%.

3. Coventry City v Aston Villa

   10:00 AM ET

   Coventry CityCoventry v

   Aston VillaAston Villa

   Forecast: Coventry favored. Coventry win 38%, draw 26%, Aston Villa win 36%.

   Coventry winCoventry win 38%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Aston Villa winAston Villa win 36%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.

   38%26%36%

   Home field evens it against Aston Villa, 9th by rating; Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play.

   Toss-upToss-upWin chances within 5 points.

4. Crystal Palace v Manchester United

   10:00 AM ET

   Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v

   Manchester UnitedMan United

   Forecast: Man United favored. Crystal Palace win 32%, draw 24%, Man United win 44%.

   Crystal Palace winCrystal Palace win 32%Most likely 2–1 (7%). By 2+ goals 15%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 4%.Man United winMan United win 44%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 24%.

   32%24%44%

   Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

5. Fulham v Brentford

   10:00 AM ET

   FulhamFulham v

   BrentfordBrentford

   Forecast: Brentford favored. Fulham win 35%, draw 27%, Brentford win 38%.

   Fulham winFulham win 35%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Brentford winBrentford win 38%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 19%.

   35%27%38%

   Home field evens it against Brentford, 7th by rating.

   Toss-upToss-upWin chances within 5 points.

6. Hull City v Tottenham Hotspur

   10:00 AM ET

   Hull CityHull v

   Tottenham HotspurTottenham

   Forecast: Tottenham favored. Hull win 34%, draw 29%, Tottenham win 37%.

   Hull winHull win 34%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 15%.DrawDraw 29%Most likely 1–1 (14%). Scoreless 10%.Tottenham winTottenham win 37%Most likely 0–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 16%.

   34%29%37%

   Home field evens it against Tottenham, 11th by rating; Tottenham is 4 points out with 29 to play.

   Toss-upToss-upWin chances within 5 points.

7. Ipswich Town v Newcastle United

   10:00 AM ET

   Ipswich TownIpswich v

   Newcastle UnitedNewcastle

   Forecast: Newcastle favored. Ipswich win 38%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 39%.

   Ipswich winIpswich win 38%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 20%.DrawDraw 23%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 3%.Newcastle winNewcastle win 39%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 21%.

   38%23%39%

   3.7 goals expected, 24% more than an average match; Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play.

   High scoringHigh scoring24% more goals than an average match, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.

8. Liverpool v Leeds United

   10:00 AM ET

   LiverpoolLiverpool v

   Leeds UnitedLeeds

   Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 52%, draw 26%, Leeds win 22%.

   Liverpool winLiverpool win 52%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 29%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Leeds winLeeds win 22%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 9%.

   52%26%22%

   Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 55%, a loss drops them to 39%.

9. Manchester City v Chelsea

   10:00 AM ET

   Manchester CityMan City v

   ChelseaChelsea

   Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 56%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 22%.

   Man City winMan City win 56%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 35%.DrawDraw 22%Most likely 1–1 (9%). Scoreless 4%.Chelsea winChelsea win 22%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 10%.

   56%22%22%

   Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 38%, a loss to 23%.

   Must watchMust watchRated 45 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.

10. Sunderland v Nottingham Forest

    10:00 AM ET

    SunderlandSunderland v

    Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest

    Forecast: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 37%, draw 28%, Nott'm Forest win 35%.

    Sunderland winSunderland win 37%Most likely 1–0 (9%). By 2+ goals 17%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (14%). Scoreless 9%.Nott'm Forest winNott'm Forest win 35%Most likely 0–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 15%.

    37%28%35%
    High stakesHigh stakesBoth need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 47%, Nott'm Forest's to 19%.Stakes 34 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.