Premier League matches
Dec 14–20
Saturday
Arsenal v Manchester United
Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 64%, draw 22%, Man United win 14%.Arsenal win 64%Most likely 2–0 (12%). By 2+ goals 40%.Draw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 6%.Man United win 14%Most likely 1–2 (4%). By 2+ goals 5%.Arsenal is 1st by rating, Man United 8th; a win lifts Arsenal's chances of the title to 84%.
Top qualityQuality 60 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.AFC Bournemouth v Coventry City
Forecast: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 59%, draw 22%, Coventry win 19%.Bournemouth win 59%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 37%.Draw 22%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 5%.Coventry win 19%Most likely 1–2 (5%). By 2+ goals 8%.Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 29%, a loss to 18%.
Brentford v Newcastle United
Forecast: Brentford favored. Brentford win 52%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 25%.Brentford win 52%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 30%.Draw 23%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Newcastle win 25%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 11%.Brighton & Hove Albion v Ipswich Town
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton v
Forecast: Brighton favored. Brighton win 68%, draw 17%, Ipswich win 15%.Brighton win 68%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 47%.Draw 17%Most likely 1–1 (7%). Scoreless 3%.Ipswich win 15%Most likely 1–2 (4%). By 2+ goals 6%.3.9 goals expected, 31% more than an average match; Brighton is the week's heaviest favorite.
High scoring31% more goals than an average match, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.Chelsea v Aston Villa
Forecast: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 49%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 27%.Chelsea win 49%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 28%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Aston Villa win 27%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 21%.
Leeds United v Fulham
Forecast: Leeds favored. Leeds win 45%, draw 28%, Fulham win 27%.Leeds win 45%Most likely 1–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 22%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 9%.Fulham win 27%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 11%.Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.
Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur
Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 54%, draw 24%, Tottenham win 22%.Liverpool win 54%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 31%.Draw 24%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Tottenham win 22%Most likely 1–2 (6%). By 2+ goals 8%.Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 54%, a loss drops them to 40%.
Manchester City v Hull City
Forecast: Man City favored. Man City win 65%, draw 21%, Hull win 14%.Man City win 65%Most likely 2–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 42%.Draw 21%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 6%.Hull win 14%Most likely 1–2 (4%). By 2+ goals 4%.Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 92%, a loss to 84%.
High stakesStakes 32 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.Nottingham Forest v Everton
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest v
Forecast: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 43%, draw 28%, Everton win 29%.Nott'm Forest win 43%Most likely 1–0 (10%). By 2+ goals 21%.Draw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Everton win 29%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 12%.Nott'm Forest is the favorite despite sitting 5 places below Everton.
Sunderland v Crystal Palace
Forecast: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 45%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace win 29%.Sunderland win 45%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 24%.Draw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Crystal Palace win 29%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 13%.High stakesBoth need this to stay up; a win cuts Sunderland's chances of going down to 47%, Crystal Palace's to 51%.Stakes 35 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
