Premier League matches

SundayMay 30

1. Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion

   11:00 AM ET

   ArsenalArsenal v

   Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton

   Forecast: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 56%, draw 25%, Brighton win 19%.

   Arsenal winArsenal win 56%Most likely 1–0 (11%). By 2+ goals 32%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 7%.Brighton winBrighton win 19%Most likely 0–1 (5%). By 2+ goals 7%.

   56%25%19%

   Brighton won 3–0 when they met in September.

2. Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur

   11:00 AM ET

   Aston VillaAston Villa v

   Tottenham HotspurTottenham

   Forecast: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 44%, draw 27%, Tottenham win 29%.

   Aston Villa winAston Villa win 44%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 23%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Tottenham winTottenham win 29%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 12%.

   44%27%29%

3. Chelsea v Brentford

   11:00 AM ET

   ChelseaChelsea v

   BrentfordBrentford

   Forecast: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 46%, draw 23%, Brentford win 31%.

   Chelsea winChelsea win 46%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 26%.DrawDraw 23%Most likely 1–1 (10%). Scoreless 4%.Brentford winBrentford win 31%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   46%23%31%

   3.5 goals expected, the most of any match this week.

4. Coventry City v Nottingham Forest

   11:00 AM ET

   Coventry CityCoventry v

   Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest

   Forecast: Coventry favored. Coventry win 42%, draw 26%, Nott'm Forest win 32%.

   Coventry winCoventry win 42%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 21%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Nott'm Forest winNott'm Forest win 32%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.

   42%26%32%

   16th meets 19th at the drop; a win cuts Coventry to 16%, Nott'm Forest to 19%.

5. Crystal Palace v Leeds United

   11:00 AM ET

   Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v

   Leeds UnitedLeeds

   Forecast: Leeds favored. Crystal Palace win 33%, draw 27%, Leeds win 40%.

   Crystal Palace winCrystal Palace win 33%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 15%.DrawDraw 27%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 7%.Leeds winLeeds win 40%Most likely 1–2 (9%). By 2+ goals 20%.

   33%27%40%

   Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

6. Hull City v Newcastle United

   11:00 AM ET

   Hull CityHull v

   Newcastle UnitedNewcastle

   Forecast: Newcastle favored. Hull win 35%, draw 28%, Newcastle win 37%.

   Hull winHull win 35%Most likely 2–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 16%.DrawDraw 28%Most likely 1–1 (13%). Scoreless 8%.Newcastle winNewcastle win 37%Most likely 0–1 (8%). By 2+ goals 17%.

   35%28%37%

   Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

7. Ipswich Town v Everton

   11:00 AM ET

   Ipswich TownIpswich v

   EvertonEverton

   Forecast: Ipswich favored. Ipswich win 40%, draw 25%, Everton win 35%.

   Ipswich winIpswich win 40%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 21%.DrawDraw 25%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 5%.Everton winEverton win 35%Most likely 1–2 (8%). By 2+ goals 18%.

   40%25%35%

   Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Ipswich's chances of going down to 28%, Everton's to 8%.

8. Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth

   11:00 AM ET

   LiverpoolLiverpool v

   AFC BournemouthBournemouth

   Forecast: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 44%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 30%.

   Liverpool winLiverpool win 44%Most likely 2–1 (9%). By 2+ goals 23%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Bournemouth winBournemouth win 30%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 14%.

   44%26%30%

   5th and 7th both chase fourth place; a win lifts Liverpool to 57%, Bournemouth to 36%.

9. Manchester United v Fulham

   11:00 AM ET

   Manchester UnitedMan United v

   FulhamFulham

   Forecast: Man United favored. Man United win 49%, draw 26%, Fulham win 25%.

   Man United winMan United win 49%Most likely 2–1 (10%). By 2+ goals 27%.DrawDraw 26%Most likely 1–1 (12%). Scoreless 6%.Fulham winFulham win 25%Most likely 1–2 (7%). By 2+ goals 10%.

   49%26%25%

   Man United is 9 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to under 1%.

10. Sunderland v Manchester City

    11:00 AM ET

    SunderlandSunderland v

    Manchester CityMan City

    Forecast: Man City favored. Sunderland win 22%, draw 24%, Man City win 54%.

    Sunderland winSunderland win 22%Most likely 2–1 (6%). By 2+ goals 9%.DrawDraw 24%Most likely 1–1 (11%). Scoreless 6%.Man City winMan City win 54%Most likely 1–2 (10%). By 2+ goals 31%.

    22%24%54%

    Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 93%, a loss to 85%.